Best Exotic Tips of the Day | December 1st

By:

01/12/2023

Exotic Tips of the Day

The Group 1 races season is in full tilt with massive listed racing again tomorrow and I have posted full length free horse racing tips for each of the aforementioned racecourses. In addition to my Friday tips there is also a best bets tips article that has helpful track insights and also outlines the best promotions going around across our aussie betting sites with my best bet and best outside chance of the day.

It’s going to be a big day of racing with bumper cards set for Moonee Valley and Kensington racecourse and there are some very competitive races. We are looking to pick up some more lucrative bets and as usual I am continuing the strategy that has been having success in focusing on exacta betting as it continues to pay off so lets get stuck back into things so follow me below for another solid day of exotics betting below!

Exacta - Kensington - R5

1st: 2, 4
2nd: 1, 2, 4, 6

My next best bet of the day here at Kensington and I think that whilst the #2 is the likely winner and I do like his chances a lot, the joint favourite in the #4 is that price for a reason, I have included my other picks in for second. Full write up in my Friday Tips at Kensington.

Exacta at 833% @ Playup (Best of three totes)

Exacta - Moonee Valley - R2

1st: 1, 3, 4, 5
2nd: 1, 3, 4, 5

Very honest race here at Moonee Valley with the #4 being my roughie of the day at the course but I do think that all of my selections are winning chances and as such I have put all of them in for both lines of betting, other than one of the runners, they’re all at quite high prices so any combination should see this pay well. Full write up in my Friday tips at Moonee Valley.

Exacta at 414% @ Punterspal (Best of three totes)

Exacta - Kensington - R7

1st: 3
2nd: 4, 6, 11

Best bet of the day here at Kensington and in my best bets tips and I am doubling down on the #3 to get the job done which would be an awesome way to close out the day. I am confident that the #3 measures up and am keen to play this exotics bet. Full write up in my Friday tips at Kensington

Exacta at 1666% @ Palmerbet (Best of three totes)

Stats and Insights

Trifecta betting can prove extremely lucrative when a higher odds runner fills any of the spots in the trifecta as it massively boosts the total odds.
50% of runners that finish first in the trifecta were placed in their start prior
More than 65% of runners that finish second in trifectas finished 1st-5th in their start prior
A simple way of comparing two horses that you are considering adding into your exacta / trifecta is to add their placings from the last four starts and take the smaller of the two

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# Today's Tip

By:Kai Shmukler

I am an avid horse racing enthusiast and punter. Growing up in Randwick, I have been surrounded by racing through stories from the elderly’s past endeavours to the racecourse and owners that are friends of the family. I am also a data-scientist and am fascinated and intrigued by the algorithmic approach to form. I’ve has become more involved with racing over the past few years due to simultaneously delving deeper into the sport and learning how to apply a data driven approach to punting. Beyond Racing, I am an avid NRL fan and MMA fan, the latter of which I have largely applied the same philosophy of methodical, data driven punting towards and found solid success in the MMA space and I continue to track and improve my strategies.

All Articles by Kai Shmukler