The Autumn Group 1 races season is well underway and we look forward to listed racing again this weekend we first come to some of our premiere racecourses in NSW and VIC with super strong midweek cards at Caulfield racecourse and Kensington racecourse. I have posted full length free horse racing tips for each of the aforementioned racecourses. In addition to my Friday tips there is also a best bets tips article that has helpful track insights and also outlines the best promotions going around across our aussie betting sites with my best bet and best outside chance of the day.
It’s going to be a big day of racing with bumper cards set for Caulfield racecourse and Kensington racecourse. We are looking to pick up some more lucrative bets and as usual I am continuing the strategy that has been having success in focusing on exacta betting as it continues to pay off so lets get stuck back into things so follow me below for another solid day of exotics betting below!
Best Exotic Tips of the Day | March 13
Exotic Tips of the Day
Exacta - Caulfield - R7
1st: 1, 7
2nd: 1, 4, 7, 8
My next best bet of the day here at Caulfield and whilst I think that the #1 is a very well placed horse that comes in over the odds here he’s going to have to beat a sharp and smart favourite in the #7. Both of them are at decent prices so this exacta should pay well. Full write up in my Wednesday tips at Caulfield.
Exacta - Caulfield - R5
1st: 1, 2, 6, 9
2nd: 1, 2, 6, 9
My roughie of the day steps out in this race tomorrow, being the #2 who rates very highly in this field but this is a wide open race and he does meet some stiff competition so I am going wide in my exotics for this race with my other selections placed in this bet. Full write up in my Wednesday Tips at Caulfield
Exacta - Kensington - R1
1st: 1
2nd: 2, 3, 6
We have been going very well with this type of exotic bet after just missing out on Saturday with a huge roughie taking second place in NSW’s listed racing. I am keen to bounce back and am going hard on my best bet of the day here at Randwick. The #1 is a smart horse who looks very progressive and should be winning here. Full write up in my Wednesday Tips at Kensington or Best Bets tips.
Stats and Insights
- Trifecta betting can prove extremely lucrative when a higher odds runner fills any of the spots in the trifecta as it massively boosts the total odds.
- 50% of runners that finish first in the trifecta were placed in their start prior
- More than 65% of runners that finish second in trifectas finished 1st-5th in their start prior
- A simple way of comparing two horses that you are considering adding into your exacta / trifecta is to add their placings from the last four starts and take the smaller of the two
I am an avid horse racing enthusiast and punter. Growing up in Randwick, I have been surrounded by racing through stories from the elderly’s past endeavours to the racecourse and owners that are friends of the family. I am also a data-scientist and am fascinated and intrigued by the algorithmic approach to form. I’ve has become more involved with racing over the past few years due to simultaneously delving deeper into the sport and learning how to apply a data driven approach to punting. Beyond Racing, I am an avid NRL fan and MMA fan, the latter of which I have largely applied the same philosophy of methodical, data driven punting towards and found solid success in the MMA space and I continue to track and improve my strategies.
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