Black Caviar Lightning Stakes - 1000m
Date: Saturday 18th February 2023
Time: TBD
Prize Money: $1 million AUD
The weight-for-age sprint race at Flemington Racecourse is named the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes. The 1000m trip is one of the highlights of the Australian racing calendar and features some of the best horses the country has to offer. The race has grown in popularity thanks to a long list of notable winners (read below to see our ‘Notable Winners of the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes’) and as a result, there has been a gradual increase in prize money. Below is a breakdown of the prize money given out for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes:
Placing | Prize Money |
1st | $600,000 |
2nd | $180,000 |
3rd | $90,000 |
4th | $45,000 |
5th | $25,000 |
6th, 7th, and 8th | $20,000 |
The field for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes is yet to be determined but there is a strong list of pre-nominations who are likely to feature come Saturday race day. We have listed the current odds-on favourites for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes below. Read further to see our way-too-early predictions and tips. These might be worth locking in early to get the best possible price!
Please keep in mind once again that the field is not confirmed for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes, so these are pre-emptive odds that factor in the chance a specific horse will not feature in the 1000m sprint race.
Please Note: All odds are provided by PlayUp.
Runners | Fixed Win Odds | Fixed Place Odds |
Nature Strip | $2.50 | $1.35 |
In Secret | $6.00 | $2.25 |
Giga Kick | $8.00 | $2.70 |
Marabi | $9.00 | $3.00 |
Roch N Horse | $9.00 | $3.00 |
Eduardo | $11.00 | $3.50 |
Joyful Fortune | $12.00 | $3.70 |
I Wish I Win | $12.00 | $3.70 |
Private Eye | $13.00 | $14.00 |
Baller | $15.00 | $4.40 |
Bella Nipotina | $15.00 | $4.40 |
Best Of Bordeaux | $15.00 | $4.40 |
Lost And Running | $15.00 | $4.40 |
Mazu | $15.00 | $4.40 |
Paulele | $15.00 | $4.40 |
Uncommon James | $15.00 | $4.40 |
Coolangatta | $16.00 | $4.80 |
What a ridiculously strong field of runners that could be slated for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes on Saturday 18th February 2023. Many notable names that boast strong career records and cup wins. Whilst it may be early to pick a winner, we have done our best to provide three early picks for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes. These tips are in the same style as our OnlyRacing tipsso if you are a regular reader, you will be able to follow easily. If you aren’t, what are you doing with yourself?
Early Best Bet | Black Caviar Lightning Stakes Nature Strip | Win: $2.50 Bet Now | Place: $1.35 Bet Now |
Early Next Best | Black Caviar Lightning Stakes Eduardo | Win: $11.00 Bet Now | Place: $3.50 Bet Now |
Early Roughie Pick | Black Caviar Lightning Stakes Paulele | Win: $15.00 Bet Now | Place: $4.40 Bet Now |
Nature Strip – EARLY BEST BET
There is little that needs to be said about the early front runner for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes, Nature Strip. Second by a bobbing head last year and winner the year previous, Nature Strip is arguably the premier Australian horse to beat on its day. I could go on all day about the eight-year-old chestnut Gelding’s racing style which is a joy to watch, but instead, as a precursor for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes, here are some career statistics of note for Nature Strip:
- A whopping total of $20,600,008 AUD has been amassed by Nature Strip.
- Nature Strip is trained by Chris Waller out of Warwick Farm and is sired by Nicconi and Strikeline, stallion and dam respectively.
- Nature Strip’s most lucrative career win to date is not even his victory at Flemington Racecourse in the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes but is rather his win at Royal Randwick’s TJ Smith Stakes in April last year, winning $800,940. Interestingly in this race, Nature Strip just beat out Eduardo (our early next best pick for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes.
- Nature Strip has a 22-8-1 record in 41 starts, winning 54%, and placing in 76% of those starts.
- The ROI for Nature Strip stands at an insane 34%. Meaning that if you bet on Nature Strip for all 41 starts, you would have made 34% of your total investment in the Gelding.
Eduardo – EARLY NEXT BEST
The aforementioned Eduardo is clear value in my eyes going into the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes. Eduardo is by all means an elite class racing horse and similar to Nature Strip is a chestnut Gelding. He is a year older than the Strip, having been foaled nine years ago. Similar again to Nature Strip, Eduardo is based at Warwick Farm and is trained by Joseph Pride.
Eduardo has won some big races, none more so than his victory in the $1,000,000 Doomben 10,000, jockeyed by Nash Rawiller, which contributed to his total career earnings of $7,390,650. Once again looking at career records and ROI for the racehorse, Eduardo boasts a stunning 60% ROI having won 39% of his races, placing in 71% total. Eduardo has a career record of 12-4-6 in 31 total starts. Eduardo will likely be my biggest bet at the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes, $11 odds currently seem like a fine deal to me!
Paulele – EARLY ROUGHIE PICK
The James Cummings trained Paulele is a strong contender coming into the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes with a total career earnings of $2,397,200 AUD throughout the four-year-old Stallions illustrious career. Paulele is sired by the dam Chatoyant and the stallion Dawn Approach.
There has been no bigger win so far for Paulele than at Ascot a few months ago in late November 2022 where Ben Melham rode him to victory in the Winterbottom Stakes ($1,500,000 Crown Perth – Winterbottom Stakes). With a ridiculous 115% ROI and an 8-4-2 record in 21 starts, Paulele is a fierce racer who holds a shot at winning this year’s iteration of the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes.