Best Exotic Tips of the Day | December 27th

By:

26/12/2023

Exotic Tips of the Day

The Group 1 races season is coming to a close but we still have solid racing again tomorrow and I have posted full length free horse racing tips for each of the aforementioned racecourses. In addition to my Saturday tips there is also a best bets tips article that has helpful track insights and also outlines the best promotions going around across our aussie betting sites with my best bet and best outside chance of the day.

It’s going to be a big day of racing with bumper cards set for Geelong racecourse and Eagle Farm racecourse.We are looking to pick up some more lucrative bets and as usual I am continuing the strategy that has been having success in focusing on exacta betting as it continues to pay off so lets get stuck back into things so follow me below for another solid day of exotics betting below!

Exacta - Geelong - R7

1st: 2, 3

2nd: 2, 3, 4, 14

My next best bet of the day here at Geelong and I really like the chances of the #3 who I think is a very sharp favourite but the reason he wasn’t my best bet was because the close second favourite in the #2 is an honest chance as well. Full write up in my Wednesday tips at Geelong.

Exacta at 833% @ Playup (Best of three totes)

Exacta - Geelong - R8

1st: 3, 7, 8, 9

2nd: 3, 7, 8, 9

My roughie of the day here at Geelong in the #8 who the more I look at the form the more I like her odds to win however this will be a competitive race and I think that given all my other picks are at nice prices it is a good spot for this kind of exacta. Full write up in my Wednesday tips for Geelong racecourse.

Exacta at 414% @ Punterspal (Best of three totes)

Exacta - Eagle Farm - R2

1st: 2

2nd: 1, 3, 11

I just really don’t see the #2 losing this race at Eagle Farm and you can find my full reasoning in my best bets tips or Wednesday Tips at Mornington but I do think he’s a very sharp horse who is ready to win now. Other picks go in for second place.

Exacta at 1666% @ Palmerbet (Best of three totes)

Stats and Insights

Trifecta betting can prove extremely lucrative when a higher odds runner fills any of the spots in the trifecta as it massively boosts the total odds.
50% of runners that finish first in the trifecta were placed in their start prior
More than 65% of runners that finish second in trifectas finished 1st-5th in their start prior
A simple way of comparing two horses that you are considering adding into your exacta / trifecta is to add their placings from the last four starts and take the smaller of the two

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# Today's Tip

By:Kai Shmukler

I am an avid horse racing enthusiast and punter. Growing up in Randwick, I have been surrounded by racing through stories from the elderly’s past endeavours to the racecourse and owners that are friends of the family. I am also a data-scientist and am fascinated and intrigued by the algorithmic approach to form. I’ve has become more involved with racing over the past few years due to simultaneously delving deeper into the sport and learning how to apply a data driven approach to punting. Beyond Racing, I am an avid NRL fan and MMA fan, the latter of which I have largely applied the same philosophy of methodical, data driven punting towards and found solid success in the MMA space and I continue to track and improve my strategies.

All Articles by Kai Shmukler