Friday Racing Tips - Canterbury Racecourse 17/11/23

A huge metro meeting returns to Canterbury Park this Friday and we have eight high level races on the card with three maidens, one to kick the card off and then a bunch of BM72 races that will be run over mixed distances. There is over half a million dollars prize money available on the card and a bunch of really competitive looking fields with some high level runners and progressive horses who are looking towards Saturday racing. I am keen to get stuck into things so follow me below for another solid Friday card of racing at Canterbury Park!

(Note: Odds provided by Playup)

Selections:
#4 - Mogwai (BEST BET) - $1.80
#1 - Thermodynamic - $4.20
#2 - Whatadilemma - $10.00
#5 - Northern Eyes - $10.00

BEST BET - #4 - Mogwai (BEST BET)
Mogwai looks like he’s going to be tough to beat here unless he bombs out. He’s had two runs this time in for the Godolphin stable and has come very close in each of them with two runner up placings, both at Kensington at the midweeks and both in some strong competition. Back a bit in depth now, hard fit, surely wins.

THE DANGER - #1 - Thermodynamic 
Thermodynamic has heaps of upside coming here for Chris Waller and should be strong. He resumed off of a 17 week break from racing last time out when battling home in the straight with clear air a couple weeks back at Kensington to place third. He will be sharper for that run, fitter and can go over here.

VALUE BET  - #2 - Whatadilemma
I think that Whatadilemma has hardly put a foot wrong in his few starts to date for the Ryan and Alexiou camp and he will be strong here in resuming based off the way he is trialling. He’s been placed in five of his six career starts and has had two trials to lead him back into racing and the way he won his last trial effort suggests he’s going to be flying here first up. Watch what the market does with him.

Selections:
#4 - Jumeirah Beach - $4.20
#2 - Willinga Freefall - $3.10
#5 - Bluff 'N' Bluster - $8.50
#6 - The Replicant (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY)  - $9.00

BEST BET - #4 - Jumeirah Beach 
I think that at the price Jumeirah Beach is a very nice betting spot on this card for the Freedman’s and he should be strong here. He’s building a nice record with four wins in thirteen starts and looks to be at his peak now after winning third up at The Hawkesbury last time out where he found the front at the 200m and powered away from the field for a soft win. Schiller aboard, good gate, rates highly here.


THE DANGER - #2 - Willinga Freefall 
Willinga Freefall is a smart animal for Kris Lees that should be approaching his peak third up here. He showed big improvements when first to second up and stepping out at Kensington last time out where he was held up for a run until the 250m but when the split came he was flying home to place third there in a run that was luckless. He will be sharper now third up and with a bit more luck will be going very close.



VALUE BET  - #6 - The Replicant (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY) 
The Replicant has to be a winning chance here for Joe Pride after dropping massively back in grade / depth. His last few runs have come in some tough contests at Rosehill in Saturday company and the most recent of which I thought was full of merit when he only got clear air in the final 200m and was absolutely thundering to the line to place third behind Clear Choice. Those formlines are the best of the race so I think he only goes well here.

Selections:
#5 - Louisville (NEXT BEST) - $2.70
#7 - Lancaster Bomber - $5.50
#2 - Anythink Goes - $10.00
#6 - Walkin'talkin' - $6.50

BEST BET - #5 - Louisville (NEXT BEST)
I have to be in the corner for Louisville for Chris Waller and Jmac who resumes here off of a 17 week break and whilst he hasn’t shown much in the trials leading up to his return I just think he’s got too much class here. Most of his runs have come in Saturday grade and he’s beat the likes of Aristonous in his Winter campaign earlier this year. Rates well above this field and I think he will assert some level of dominance here.

THE DANGER - #7 - Lancaster Bomber
Lancaster Bomber will make this a race, coming far back in grade / depth and I think he rates highly here and generally does his best work when deep into his prep like we see now. His most recent run came in Saturday grade at Randwick where he jumped awkwardly and did things tough out wide but still found enough to give a strong kick in the straight to finish midfield. He rarely runs poorly and is well back in competition level now so should be strong here.

VALUE BET - #2 - Anythink Goes
Anythink Goes has been trialling too well to ignore and I am keen to see how he goes here when resuming. He hasn’t been seen at the races since Mid July when producing an end of prep run at Rosehill in some tough company but comes here off the back of three trials with the most recent of which being a very sharp trial win at Warwick Farm. One for the exotics.

Plan on betting on the races this Friday? Betting online is surprisingly simple these days, and our Best Bookmakers area is the simplest way to discover the best online betting sites to follow our expert’s tips.

Playup is my top selection for Racing this week as they are providing some of the best overall fixed odds amongst the Australian bookies at the moment for racing. They are also very generous, often offering a number of racing promotions such as money back in bonus bets for 2nd and 3rd for a selected runner in a race of your choosing. They cover all Australian thoroughbred racing and are quite comprehensive in their international racing markets.

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I had Daniel as my top jockey for a midweek meeting earlier this week and the philosophy behind it stays the same. He’s been in mighty form this season and has really made a name for himself amongst the top NSW/VIC stables and gets another really solid booking of rides for Canterbury’s racing on Wednesday, I have outlined them all below:

R3 - #10 - I’m Mim - $46.00
R4 - #3 - Saint Eustace - $21.00
R5 - #7 - Jillette - $71.00
R6 - #12 - Roaring Engine - $41.00
R7 - #1 - King’s Consort - $19.00
R8 - #5 - Munhamek - $2.50
R9 - #19 - El Salto - $81.00

I think that we have to tread lightly with a multi on such a competitive day of racing with so many of these horses having been geared for the races on this card. As such, I have given favour to those horses who have drawn good gates, are well weighted and who have top jockeys on as these factors can be all the advantage you need for a win in the circumstances. Follow my multi of the day below for a fun bet to track over race day!

Canterbury R1 - #4 - Mogwai -  PLC $1.16
Canterbury R7 - #5 - Louisville - PLC $1.45
Canterbury R4 - #6 - The Replicant - PLC $2.40

Total Odds = $4.00
$50 Stake = $200.00 Return!

Odds provided by PlayUp, sign up for a new account here to get started.

Our experts have curated a bet type information page which delves into all the different types of exotics betting, check it out for clarification on the different types of exotics betting or just to brush up on your knowledge.

Canterbury Racecourse Trifecta Tip (R1)
1st: 1, 2, 4, 5
2nd: 1, 2, 4, 5
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 5

$50 stake = 208% flexi

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If you are looking for the best promotions this week for Wednesday's racing I wouldn’t look past Unibet, often they offer odds boosts in addition to the money back promotions. Don’t forget to check your account as well for personal offers. 

Promotions often change so make sure you sign up at unibet.com.au to see what promotions are applicable to you and you may even be surprised to find some promotions that weren’t mentioned here!