Friday Racing Tips - Cranbourne Racecourse 21/04/23

The Cranbourne night races are back with a bang, featuring a total prize money of $345,000 spread across nine exciting races. The event kicks off with four maiden races, followed by a set of Benchmark races that showcase some highly progressive types from prominent NSW stables and others. The track has been rated as a soft 6, with the rail in true position. Join me as I walk you through the best spots on the card.

(Note: Odds provided by Playup)

Selections:
#4 - Suruga Bay (NEXT BEST)  - $2.50
#1 - Connecticut  - $3.50
#6 - Disturbia  - $18.00
#2 - Credible Analyses - $7.50

BEST BET - #4 - Suruga Bay (NEXT BEST) 
Suruga Bay is a very progressive three year old for Grant Begg who comes into this third up after makingbig improvements second up when coming to this track from Pakenham and sitting three deep with no cover before shifting out and taking over at the 200m to only go down late to a few smart types. She looks to be hard fit now and if they can time the run so that she peaks just a bit later she will be very hard to beat.

THE DANGER - #1 - Connecticut 
Looks to be a pretty even contest between Suruga Bay and Connecticut who is second up for Moroney after placing at Pakenham about a month ago when fresh from a long spell. They didn’t run it all that fast that day but there’s been four runners since then from that race that have won since and the form from that race looks very good. He’ll make natural improvements from that and will be prominent from the decent gate. 

VALUE BET  - #6 - Disturbia
Disturbia has been running very well this campaign without winning. He’s placed third in all of his last three runs and has had excuses in his last two but also did come up against some horses that just looked better. He gets a soft run from the inside here and should be fit as ever and peaking now. Good chance at the odds. 

Selections:
#8 - Countess Jenni (BEST BET) - $4.20
#9 - Whakamana  - $4.80
#5 - Black Ivory  - $14.00
#1 - Narvaez - $4.20

BEST BET - #8 - Countess Jenni (BEST BET)
Countless Jenni looks like a very good horse for Maher and Eustace who, after a few quite jump outs and no public trials and scored dominantly at Pakenham first up over the 1200m where he did it two wide all trip and still just kept finding the line. Won narrowly there but the splits were good and rates very well with a much softer run this time. Step up in trip looks good as well, top chance.

THE DANGER - #9 - Whakamana 
Whakamana looks very good for The Busuttin and Young Stable second up here after placing first up at Pakenham two weeks ago. The time wasn’t anything flash but the track was slow that day and she was honest in a tough run. The run should be a bit softer this time in, she maps to be up on the speed and can go one better here.

VALUE BET  - #5 - Black Ivory 
Black Ivory resumed off a half year spell two weeks ago in the same race as Whakamana and was seventh their but did very well from the wrong part of the track and was under a length from the place getters. Historically improves second up and likes this distance range. Top chance to go over here tomorrow.

Selections:
#4 - Crimmo  - $3.10
#x 8 - Body Bob  - $2.70
#11 - Magical Slipper (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY)  - $7.50
#2 - Oamanikka - $8.00

BEST BET - #4 - Crimmo 
ICrimmo looks very well placed to return to the races a winner here first up. He debuted a winner at Ararat over the 1300m before going to Sandown in the midweeks and chased hard there, building up to a peak just a bit too late and looking very good when third. Comes back to this provincial BM64 now first up and looks suited to against this field.

THE DANGER - #8 - Body Bob
Body Bob has done little wrong in four starts to date, recording a handful of placings before taking a breaking from the races for just over half a year and returned two weeks ago over the 1200m at Warrnackanbeal for a brave win when leading them for an all the way win and just holding on there. Should improve second up and the step up in distance looks suited. 

VALUE BET - #11 - Magical Slipper (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY)
Phillip Stokes and Daniel Moor are a proven combination who have been flying this season so far. Magical Slipper is third up and whilst she hasn’t done an awful lot up until this point she has had a lot of weight on her back and hasn’t been disgraced in the runs back. Can improve third up and finds a winnable race.

Plan on betting on the races this Friday? Betting online is surprisingly simple these days, and our Best Bookmakers area is the simplest way to discover the best online betting sites to follow our expert’s tips.

Playup is my top selection for Racing this week as they are providing some of the best overall fixed odds amongst the Australian bookies at the moment for racing. They are also very generous, often offering a number of racing promotions such as money back in bonus bets for 2nd and 3rd for a selected runner in a race of your choosing. They cover all Australian thoroughbred racing and are quite comprehensive in their international racing markets.

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Daniel Moor has been absolutely flying of late, winning Stakes and listed races in all the Major States Autumn carnival’s so far. I had him on top for two week’s back meeting at this track and he duly saluted, riding three winners from his selection of rides. he gets another top booking of rides for tomorrow’s meeting and I have outlined them below:

R1 - #2 - Cattrall - $9.50
R4 - #7 - Smullen - $1.85
R6 - #7 - Deep blast - $11.20
R7 - #4 - Roznamla - $5.50
R8 - #4 - Shadow Hawk - $8.50

Cranbourne can be a challenging track to craft a successful multi bet, so I'm opting to stick to a specific strategy for this race day. I've identified those horses up near the speed (in the sprints/mid distance) as the most promising contenders at Cranbourne. I’m hoping this increases our chance cashing the multi bet so be sure to follow me below for a fun bet to track over tomorrow 

R5 - #3 - Designer Dreamer  - PLC $1.45
R6 - #3 - The Last Napoleon - PLC $2.80
R7 - Cranbourne R7 - PLC $1.35

Total Odds = $5.48
$50 Stake = $274.05 Return!

Odds provided by PlayUp, sign up for a new account here to get started.

Our experts have curated a bet type information page which delves into all the different types of exotics betting, check it out for clarification on the different types of exotics betting or just to brush up on your knowledge.

Cranbourne Racecourse Trifecta Tip (R5)
1st: 3
2nd: 2, 4, 6
3rd: 2, 4, 6

$50 stake = 833% flexi

Promotions are traditionally the primary way for punters to create an edge over the bookies, as they can save your cash when your runner fails to win, in the instance of Unibet they often offer 2nd and 3rd money back in bonus bets for a selection of races on the midweek and Provincial racing days. Coupled with their generous odds I have to put them as the top bookie promotion wise at the moment for Australian racing. 

If you are looking for the best promotions this week for Wednesday's racing I wouldn’t look past Unibet, often they offer odds boosts in addition to the money back promotions. Don’t forget to check your account as well for personal offers. 

Promotions often change so make sure you sign up at unibet.com.au to see what promotions are applicable to you and you may even be surprised to find some promotions that weren’t mentioned here!