Selections:
#5 - Kronenbourg - $2.90
#10 - Blackcomb- $7.00
#9 - Menazzi - $10.00
#8 - Blacklog (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY) - $11.00
BEST BET - #5 - Kronenbourg
Kronenbourg is one of my favourite horses up North and shapes up very well here for Tony Gollan, I think he is one of the better bets on the program. He won two weeks ago at Toowoomba and even if he didn’t knock off the best of fields, the manner in which he did it was very impressive when getting a good run in transit and just letting down hard late under Orman’s steering for a nice timed win. I think the distance is fine for him and he will handle anything thrown at him. Decent price as well, keen.
THE DANGER - #10 - Blackcomb
Blackcomb is a key danger for me. Not that he was doing badly at all under Danny O’Brien but the way he’s been going under Kris Lees is hard to ignore and he now comes into this third up, hard fit and ready to win again. He won two back before coming very close over the Mile at Warwick Farm when looking for longer. He gets that now, good gate, winnable race.
VALUE BET - #8 - Blacklog (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY)
Looking for likely improvers here and Blacklog fits the profile well. He raced over the mile at Toowoomba a fortnight ago where he was well deep in the field and wasn’t a winning chance but did start to really let down late in the piece when able to place second there to the aforementioned Kronenbourg. Given the way he raced there the extra 200m is super positive so as long as he isn’t too far back he goes well here.