Selections:
#4 - Ashgrove- $3.00
#12 - Enterprise Mia - $6.50
#11 - Gaius (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY) - $13.00
#1 - Be Water My Friend - $9.50
BEST BET - #4 - Ashgrove
Cheeky little race with a few key chances but I do think that Ashgrove is the leading contender here and the quote of around $3.00 is fair and good enough for me to be in his corner. He’s third up now and looks set to peak since racing at the Mile at Doomben just under three weeks ago where he seemingly had every chance with a positive ride from Jimmy Orman but just didn’t have the fitness right at the end to close that out. He drops back 100m which should be no issue at all and now, hard fit, will be ready to towel these.
THE DANGER - #12 - Enterprise Mia
Enterprise Mia looks set to peak here third up and I think that she is a very good thing going for the O’Dea and Hoystead camp. He resumed at the Sunshine Coast where the market said he would need the run off of a 20 week spell and he did when finishing down the track. He stepped out three weeks between runs last time out in a big field at Doomben where he crossed early from a wide gate and led to home to only be run down in the last 100m. He will be much sharper and fitter for that run and can definitely win this third up now. Top chance.
VALUE BET - #11 - Gaius (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY)
Gaius looks like as honest a chance as any and being at around $13.00 at the time of writing presents as a really good betting spot here. He has finished close second placings in both of his last two runs where I think a win in either of them would have seen him be around a $5.00 pop here but both of the runs have been full of merit and the form reads well, particularly his close second placing to Release The Beans last time out and without a clear class horse in this race he can win.