Selections:
#3 - Convincebility (NEXT BEST) - $3.90
#2 - Dimaggio - $5.50
#4 - Angelical - $11.00
#6 - River Snitty - $4.20
BEST BET - #3 - Convincebility (NEXT BEST)
Convincebility shapes up really well here for Kris Lees and I think he looks astutely placed to pick up another win. He has been absolutely flying since resuming from a decently long spell and after belting two not overly strong fields at regional tracks first and second up, both over the 1200m, he stepped out to a 1400m midweek Kensington race that was quite strong on paper where he was ridden very hot to find the lead and beat all but the smart winner in Strombus. That form reads very well for this, he’s hard fit fourth up and I think ridden a bit more conservatively he will be too strong for these.
THE DANGER - #2 - Dimaggio
Dimaggio is a horse I have plenty of time for for the Waugh stable and whilst it is tricky to grab him on the right day and he has been up for some time now, his last start suggests he is holding form well. He’s had quite a few runs this time in and has finished runner up in nearly half of them. Last time out he ran second at Kensington behind Amor Victorious and I really liked how strong he was through the line. He’s won or placed in his two starts at this track and the extra meters can only aid his cause now.
VALUE BET - #4 - Angelical
Angelical looks like a very progressive horse for Paul Messara and a win here wouldn’t totally shock. He resumed off of a 27 week spell when needing the run at Warwick Farm in a very strong race that has already seen two subsequent winners behind the likes of Marquess and Ottilie before stepping out last time at Scone where he took a sit on the speed and motored clear of them for an impressive win in the last 100m. That took his record to five wins in just nine starts and he now comes into this third up, ready to peak and with a good gate.