Wednesday Racing Tips - Grafton Racecourse 12/07/23

The two day Grafton racing carnival kicks off this Wednesday and we have a great eight race card with some high level racing that is highlighted by the Grafton D.S.C. Ramornie Hcp in race 7. It is a listed 1200m sprint for a share of a whopping $200,000 prize money that should see some very good NSW runners accompanied by outer state stables. I have run through the entire card and highlighted my best betting spots overall so follow me below for an exciting first day of the Grafton Carnival!

(Note: Odds provided by Playup)

Selections:
#1 - Insider Trader (BEST BET)  - $3.10
#7 - Mirann - $4.50
#5 - Pepper's Ghost - $5.00
#9 - Your Temptation - $12.00

BEST BET - #1 - Insider Trader (BEST BET)
I am not sure why we are seeing such nice odds for Insider Trader but surely he just wins this race. He is in outstanding form for Greg Hickman when winning last time out at Hawkesbury at big odds coming from a close placing at the 2600m (Gosford) back to 2100m there. He’s hard fit now, steps out 100m in distance, Bullock’s on and is the class of this field, surely wins.

THE DANGER - #7 - Mirann
Mirann can hit hard here if he is near his best which I am not sure about but last time out a fortnight ago he raced against the track pattern at the Sunshine Coast but tired late in the straight behind Rations albeit running strongly in the early / mid part of the race. He’s been running in stronger races than this and does come back to Country level now and has always shown a bit of potential, gets an honest chance to show if it’s genuine or not here.

VALUE BET  - #5 - Pepper's Ghost 
Pepper’s Ghost doesn’t look to be going to badly this time in for Brett Cavanough and picked up a sharp win three back in the GRAFTON CUP PREVIEW before racing in a strong BM72 at Eagle Farm where he couldn’t get into the race but wasn’t disgraced there before coming to this track and racing in the Grafton Cup Quality Prelude where he sat on the leader’s heels and stayed tough for the last 200m to only finish just outside the placings. That should have him very well prepped for this assignment and gets in nicely weighted, lots to like.

Selections:
#1 - Centre Bounce (NEXT BEST)  - $3.30
#3 - Tres Redoute - $3.20
#4 - Award Me - $12.00
#2 - Enterprise Jewel - $13.00

BEST BET - #1 - Centre Bounce (NEXT BEST)
This looks like a race in two and I am keen to stick with the Matty Dunn trained Centre bounce who we have had in our best bets tips before earlier this year. She is a well bred filly that hasn’t been seen at the races since the beginning of February this year where she finished well down the track in town at Eagle Farm. She’s had a nice break to improve further and it looks like she has off the back of two sharp trials last month, the most recent of which was particularly pleasing to the eye. She gets a soft run from barrier two and with Bullock on I don’t see them running badly.

THE DANGER - #3 - Tres Redoute
The market is giving plenty of respect to Desleigh Forster’s Tres Redoute who resumed at Lismore a few weeks ago and off a long twenty three week spell and was bumped at the start, raced a bit greenly but her class saw her peel widest in the run and power home in the straight for a smart first up win. She obviously gets an honest contest here but Jimmy Orman takes the ride, they draw well and she will have plenty more to offer second up here.

VALUE BET  - #4 - Award Me 
Award me has been racing too well to be ignored here. She’s had just the two starts for Marcus Wilson since changing camps from Danny O’Brien earlier this year and both have been fantastic. She resumed at Ipswich off a thirteen week break over the 1200m mid May when jumping with the leaders early, doing it tough no cover out wide and still finding the line well enough to win. She backed that run up with a very game second placing at Ballina last time out when four weeks between runs and now comes into this hard fit, third up with more to offer and I think she is a top chance for the trifecta.

Selections:
#1 - Far Too Easy - $4.80
#8 - Deepour - $3.30
#11 - Devil’s Throat (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY) - $10.00
#4 - Ef Troop - $10.00

BEST BET - #1 - Far Too Easy
Far Too Easy looks to have returned to racing in great order for the McColm stable with an absolutely beautiful win first up at Doomben in a strong BM90 where he did the whole run and still came on so strongly to win there and look a stradbroke hope. He then raced in the group two MORETON CUP at Eagle Farm where he was outstanding from the back when never a winning chance from well back in the field but powering into second. There have already been two winners emerge from that contest and my guess is he has been placed here to boost ratings and move onto bigger things. He’s 3/3 at this course and can make it 4/4 here.

THE DANGER - #8 - Deepour
The current favourite for Adam Campton is a nice looking horse that will measure up against these here. He hasn’t been seen since Ipswich Cup Day about a month ago where he produced an exhilarating win, setting last along the rail and just cruising along until the turn where he shifted out wide and launched over them to draw clear with lengths to go. He gets in very well at the weights at just 54kg and has been kept for this race, with KWT on they should only go well.

VALUE BET - #11- Devil’s Throat (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY
We have been following Devil’s Throat since he resumed for the Snowden’s and has seemingly come back to racing an improved horse. He’s won both runs this prep so far, both in BM78 grade at Rosehill and both times he has settled back in the field before improving around midway through the run and then rocketing home on the turns. The Snowden’s won this race last year and Devil’s Throat does appear to have had the same set up. He will give them a start but will be easily the strongest late here.

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I had Daniel as my top jockey for a midweek meeting earlier this week and the philosophy behind it stays the same. He’s been in mighty form this season and has really made a name for himself amongst the top NSW/VIC stables and gets another really solid booking of rides for Grafton’s racing on Wednesday, I have outlined them all below:

R3 - #10 - I’m Mim - $46.00
R4 - #3 - Saint Eustace - $21.00
R5 - #7 - Jillette - $71.00
R6 - #12 - Roaring Engine - $41.00
R7 - #1 - King’s Consort - $19.00
R8 - #5 - Munhamek - $2.50

R9 - #19 - El Salto- $81.00

I think that we have to tread lightly with a multi on such a competitive day of racing with so many of these horses having been geared for the races on this card. As such, I have given favour to those horses who have drawn good gates, are well weighted and who have top jockeys on as these factors can be all the advantage you need for a win in the circumstances. Follow my multi of the day below for a fun bet to track over race day!

R1 - #1 - Insider Trader  - PLC $1.45
R3 - #1 - Centre Bounce  - PLC $1.40
R7 - #11- Devil’s Throat - PLC $3.00

Total Odds = $6.09
$50 Stake = $304.5 Return!

Odds provided by PlayUp, sign up for a new account here to get started.

Our experts have curated a bet type information page which delves into all the different types of exotics betting, check it out for clarification on the different types of exotics betting or just to brush up on your knowledge.

Grafton Racecourse Trifecta Tip (R3)
1st: 1, 2, 3, 4
2nd: 1, 2, 3, 4
3rd: 1, 2, 3, 4

$50 stake = 208% flexi

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If you are looking for the best promotions this week for Wednesday's racing I wouldn’t look past Unibet, often they offer odds boosts in addition to the money back promotions. Don’t forget to check your account as well for personal offers. 

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