Selections:
#10 - Prize Draw- $7.00
#1 - Flower Moon - $8.50
#2 - Ruban Bleu (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY) - $10.00
#7 - Invincible Legend - $5.50
BEST BET - #10 - Prize Draw
Prize Draw is another Michael Freedman runner who I think is very well placed in this race. He ran at the Hawkesbury over the 1600m at the beginning of this month on similar going to this after being around the mark but unplaced all prep and looked to really relish getting onto the Heavy ground when running a great time and just going down late to end up third. The time reads very well for this, not an overly strong race and I think he can win now.
THE DANGER - #1 - Flower Moon
Flower Moon is a very good looking prospect for Maher and Eustace who goes very well on wet ground and gets the blinkers on now after running fifth at Hawkesbury a few weeks back on similar going where he led, sitting on the fence but didn’t look suited at the trip when fading badly inside the last 150m. He drops back 100m now, will be fitter and if they ride him with a bit more of a sit I think he will be competitive late.
VALUE BET - #2 - Ruban Bleu (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY)
Ruban Bleu looks well placed here for Matty Dale and has been having an honest campaign, with a first up win and a handful of recent placings before most recently running at Wagga when fourth in a big field after missing the start and overcoming a subsequently tough run. I think she will be all the better after that and if she jumps cleanly she will be up on the speed and have something for them still on the turn. Top chance and is over the odds IMO.