Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets 18/04/24

Racing returns to some familiar faces this Thursday with cards set for Pakenham racecourse and the Hawkesbury racecourse after a very good set of midweek cards in NSW and VIC this past Wednesday with our full length horse racing tips doing nicely. In this article we focus on our best bet and best outside chance of the day across the two cards. There are also the best racing promotions across our Aussie horse racing betting sites outlined in this article. In the final part of the article you should find some helpful track insights for both the racecourses which should assist your horse racing betting. Follow me below for another great day of racing this Thursday!

Best Tip: Pakenham - R8 - #1 - Field Of Praise

Not too often do I bet in get outs but I think that Field Of Praise looks like a very solid betting spot for the Hayes boys in tomorrow’s get out at the course. She comes back in grade to BM58 level for this and brings the best form. She’s hard fit with multiple runs on board and gets in very well after the claim from Cartwright. She maps to lob onto the speed and be in the right spot for this track. Go well.

Bookmaker	Odds
	$2.95
	$2.90
	BEST OF THREE TOTES

*The Best Tote bet type pays bettors the highest dividend declared by the three national totes. The VIC TAB, NSW TAB and UBet. This likely means that there aren't fixed odds available at the time of writing this on that bookmaker and there likely will be.

Best Roughie: Hawkesbury - R3 - #5 - Gustav

Pretty keen to be in the corner of Gustav tomorrow in one of the few races that Annabel Neasham doesn’t dominate. Sara Ryan has been producing electric winners lately and this guy comes into this third up and ready to peak after running at Beaumont last time out and having genuine excuses when never being able to make up ground after being posted last in the run. His first up run over the 1100m here was sharp however and I think he hits back hard here at a price.

Bookmaker	Odds
	$7.50
	$7.50
	BEST OF THREE TOTES

Stats and Insights

Hawkesbury Racecourse is known to have a very real “home track advantage” and pro punters have affirmed that there are certain runners that irrespective of their form at other tracks, if they perform historically at Hawkesbury then that form is likely genuine.

Pakenham is one of the smallest tracks in the country, with only 1400m circumference and as such suited to front-runners and those horses with the ability to race handy to the pace

Often, at 1400m - 1600m at Pakenham winners predominantly emerge from barriers 5-8 which suggests those horses who either fire straight onto the speed or those that sit just behind the speed have the greatest chances.

Best Racing Promotions

Promotions have historically been a great way for bettors to gain an advantage over betting sites by providing an edge to your bet. For racing specifically these promotions can be extensive in providing you some form of ‘outs’ to your bet that you wouldn’t normally receive.

Palmerbet, in recent weeks, has stood out to me across the Aussie betting sites that offer racing promotions and is one that I would take a look at, especially for big race days that feature Group 1 races and Saturday’s in general.

On our site we have a Palmerbet Review that goes in depth into the bookmaker as well as a Vicbet and Punterspal Review amongst some of the other top bookmakers that frequently have promotions.

Promotions tend to change regularly, so it is important to sign up to these betting sites to stay updated on the latest applicable promotions.

I am an avid horse racing enthusiast and punter. Growing up in Randwick, I have been surrounded by racing through stories from the elderly’s past endeavours to the racecourse and owners that are friends of the family. I am also a data-scientist and am fascinated and intrigued by the algorithmic approach to form. I’ve has become more involved with racing over the past few years due to simultaneously delving deeper into the sport and learning how to apply a data driven approach to punting. Beyond Racing, I am an avid NRL fan and MMA fan, the latter of which I have largely applied the same philosophy of methodical, data driven punting towards and found solid success in the MMA space and I continue to track and improve my strategies.

All Articles by Kai Shmukler