Selections:
#3 - Oakfield Wallaby (NEXT BEST) - $5.50
#1 - Morning Sun - $3.40
#2 - Roma Avenue - $5.00
#5 - Tympanist - $7.50
BEST BET - #3 - Oakfield Wallaby (NEXT BEST)
How is Oakfield Wallaby not favourite here for Kris Lees? This horse has won five from eight of his career starts and four of those wins have come consecutively with the most recent being here a couple weeks ago where he charged home over the 1800m for a huge win from the back. This horse just keeps stepping up to whatever is thrown his way and with Collett on the only query is if he handles the big weight.
THE DANGER - #1 - Morning Sun
Morning Sun comes into this having his second Australian start for Annabel Neasham and ready to win after being an impressive horse back in Ireland, ending off his Irish campaign with back to back wins before being brought down here. He then made his debut at Warwick Farm when setting third and two wide in the run and still storming home, doing more than enough in his Aus debut when placing second. He shapes up very well here off the back of that.
VALUE BET - #5 - Tympanist
Tympanist has been around a long time but I think that he is still going well for David Payne after the way he last raced when at this track over the 1800m. He came from not the easiest of spots when posted deep and wide to find a split in the straight and come to the forefront of the race in the final 200m before just finding one better in Oakfield Wallaby. He shapes up here better at the weights, hard fit and I think can turn the tides with the right kind of run.