Selections:
#4 - Jammin Jimmy (BEST BET) - $2.70
#6 - Vail Mountain - $3.20
#9 - Umetini - $4.20
#1 - Arc De Puissance - $15.00
BEST BET - #x -4 - Jammin Jimmy (BEST BET)
A race in two from what it looks like to kick things off down in Victoria and I am tempted to stick with this smart four year old for the Freedman’s who made his debut at the races three weeks ago at this course on the Lakeside portion where he came from three deep and chased hard all through the run to only find one better in the straight in what was a very brave effort on debut off of a tough run. Gets an extra 100m in trip now, should have a bit more luck in running and with natural improvement will prove hard to beat.
THE DANGER - #6 - Vail Mountain
Vail Mountain looks like the main danger for the Hayes boys coming here for his third career start and having placed in both of his career kick off runs thus far. He last stepped out over the 1200m at Pakenham where he came from behind the speed at the top of the straight and powered home strongly from the 200m but was just found late by another sharp horse. He shapes up well off the back of that and third up, hard fit now.
VALUE BET - #9 - Umetini
Umetini is the only other real chance for me outside of the two favourites here. He comes back from a very long 49 week spell for Ciaron Maher here and comes back untrialled but I think there’s a fair bit of intent given that Shinn has been booked for the ride and that he was scratched from another race for this assignment. He showed some talent in his last run at this course before the long spell so don’t discount him.