Friday Racing Tips - Cranbourne Racecourse 23/12/22

Selections:
#4 - Elly Dee - $4.00 
#9 - Nunthorpe - $3.00
#5 - Indy Rose Warrior - $14.00 - (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY)
#6 - Flying on a limb - $6.00

BEST BET - #4 - Elly Dee 
Elly Dee was in the mix last start when fresh, first-up at mornington. She showed some good signs there with a smart run looming behind the leader and fought hard at the end to just be run over by the winner. He was wide throughout in that run and I think that showed late. She Draws to get every chance here and finds a softer field, Ben Allen retains the ride and I think he will be suited at this track and distance.

VALUE BET - #5 - Indy Rose Warrior - (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY)
Indy Rose Warrior comes back to a shorter trip here and off a long 24 week spell. Before being sent back to the paddock ran a fast 4th at this track and trip on a soft track and exhibited some talent there. The run before that placed 2nd at Donald under similar conditions. She draws wide here but can cross early and be right in this. 
 

Selections:
#1 - Bob The Horse - $5.50 (NEXT BEST)
#9 - Crimson Light - $3.70
#13 - Naval Destroyer - $7.00 
#6 - Concentric - $7.50

BEST BET - #1 - Bob The Horse - (NEXT BEST)
I’ve been following Bob The Horse this prep, and whilst he is luckless in 5 outings this campaign he has made his way into the placings in every single run, never running a bad race. That form reads exceptionally for this as he comes back to race at a country level. Nugent retains the ride and he draws okay, with some solid steering I think he’ll be too good for these.

VALUE BET - #6 - Concentric 
Ben Allen must be respected on Concentric based off his last run. He ran well here 3 weeks ago when second behind Bon’s Pride, a smart type. It was a strong effort there leading and looked the winner when just gunned down late. He should be rock hard fit now and has a good jockey aboard. I think there's a bit of value here. 

THE DANGER - #9 - Crimson Light 
Crimson Light is another that has been running well without winning and returns to a country level. Maps to sit just off the speed in this race and run over the top of them late. His form reads well and should have the speed to close this out. I place him marginally behind Bob The Horse.

Selections:
#1 - Mutinous - $2.20 (BEST BET)
#10 - Senegalia - $3.60
#5 - Margie’s Boy - $9.00
#8 - Aminatu - $10.00

BEST BET - #1 - Mutinous - (BEST BET)
Mutinous can do no wrong at the moment and just keeps appearing to have more in hand. Comes off the back of 2 consecutive wins, showing improvement from the first to the second when belting them by 3 lengths last time out at the valley in tougher company than this. He picks up another 2kg here from that run but nothing looks like its going to stop him right now and I cannot wait to watch this race play out.

VALUE BET - #5 - Margie’s Boy 
Margie’s Boy won on debut on a heavy track over this distance as a $3.5 favourite when taking over at the 100 metre and charging clear of the field. He seemed to relish the heavy so the good going is a query for me but I think he’s a talented type and look forward to seeing how he improves here second up.

THE DANGER - #10 - Senegalia 
Senegalia is the main threat to Mutinous in this race and with good reason. The mighty Maher and Eustace stable combines with Mertens under Senegalia who looks to have been carefully selected for this race. Comes off a long 31 weeks spell after breaking maiden in style at Tarwell when taking over at the 250m and charging clear of the field. He looks a talented horse and if he can win this I imagine he will be onto bigger and better races next year.

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Luke Nolen is the top jockey at Cranbourne this year, with an insane 30% strike rate, albeit not in that many rides. However, with 8 wins in 27 rides it speaks testament to the stables choice of runners for their rides with Nolen. I like quite a few of his rides, some of which are included in my tips and will also be centering my multi around this premise. 

Cranbourne R4 - Naval Destroyer - $7.50
Cranbourne R5 - Aeecee Supreme - $4.00
Cranbourne R7 - Slipintothis - $5.00
Cranbourne R8 - Ruggiero - $5.50

I think that Between Luke Nolen and Teo Nugent there should be a handful of winners emerging under these two at Cranbourne this friday and as such I have centred my multi around this and my best picks, going for more of a long shot here with a more considered quaddie next. 

Follow my Multi below for Cranbourne this Friday:

Cranbourne Race 3 - #4 - Elly Dee - PLC $1.70
Cranbourne Race 4 - #9 - Crimson Light - PLC $1.70
Cranbourne Race 5 - #6 - Prince Of Rome - PLC $1.55

Total Odds = $4.48
$50 Stake = $224 Return!

Odds provided by PlayUp, sign up for a new account here to get started.

I am following up with a quaddie at Cranbourne as I quite like a lot of the top selections in those later races and think there are a couple at longer odds that can siginificantly boost our odds if they pick up the win. As such, I have gone a bit riskier on the quaddie.

Our experts have curated a bet type information page which delves into all the different types of exotics betting, check it out for clarification on the different types of exotics betting or just to brush up on your knowledge.

Quaddie Tip (Cranbourne R5-8)

R5 - 3, 6, 8
R6 - 1, 6, 10
R7 - 2, 3, 6, 10
R8 - 3, 4, 5

$50 stake = 46.3% Flexi (VIC TOTE)

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If you are looking for the best promotions this week for Friday’s racing I wouldn’t look past Unibet, often they offer odds boosts in addition to the money back promotions. Don’t forget to check your account as well for personal offers. 

Promotions often change so make sure you sign up at unibet.com.au to see what promotions are applicable to you and you may even be surprised to find some promotions that weren’t mentioned here!