Saturday Racing Tips - Flemington Racecourse 17/12/22

As we approach the holiday season racing returns to Flemington for the first time since the spring carnival for the $200,000 Kensington stakes and a total 9 race card. A great way to close out the year and I am looking forward to Saturday’s racing.

Ideal weather conditions are forecasted for Saturday, with moderate temperature weather and the rail should be in true position. The track is projected to be a soft 5 but looks likely it will be upgraded to a good 4. 

I have gone through the card and selected runners from the Kensington stakes, as well as my best bet and best outsider chance of the day, along with my jockey of the day, an early quaddie and quaddie.

Odds Provided By Playup

Best of the DayFlemington R7
#6 – Rose Quartz
Win: $2.50
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Place: $1.30
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Next BestFlemington R4
#14 – Awesome John 
Win: $4.40
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Place: $1.85
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Roughie of the DayFlemington R9
#14 - Jet Jitsu
Win: $15.00
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Place: $4.60
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Flemington Race 4 – THE KENNEDY JEWEL HANDICAP (1800m)

#14 – Awesome John (NEXT BEST) - $4.40
#9 – Desperado - $4.40
#8 – Blushing Tycoon - $9.00
#11 – Freedom escape - $7.50

BEST BET - #14 – Awesome John (NEXT BEST)
Awesome John has seen an outstanding prep with 2 wins and 2 placings in 5 runs this campaign. He likes the ground that we are set to have here at Flemington on saturday, gets in light, has Kah retaining the ride and a good gate. In a race without much speed and based of his turn of foot last time out at Hawkesbury I think he won’t be far away in the run.   

VALUE BET - #8 - Blushing Tycoon 
Blushing Tycoon looks to be peaking in fitness and the camp is getting the tactics right with 2 2nd placings in his last two runs, he showed good closing speed last time out but peaked just before the line and found a smart type in the last 50 metres. He drops back in distance here which is generally a query for me but I expect a forward showing from the decent draw and Shinn is always a bonus.

THE DANGER - #9 – Desperado 
Desperado is very interesting, he resumed off a near year long spell last time out at Warrnambool where he actually had a pre race incident and still managed a soft win in great time. You would have to expect further improvement second up now and racing for the ever prominent Maher and Eustace camp, he maps to settle wide and back but I can see him having every chance to run over the top of them late, the only thing that concerns me is the overall lack of speed in the race does not favour him.

Flemington Race 7 – KENSINGTON STAKES (1000m)

#6 – Rose Quartz (BEST BET) – $2.50
#2 – Esta La Roca - $4.40
#1 – Halvorsen - $5.50
#4 - Yulong Command - $8.00

BEST BET - #6 – Rose Quartz (BEST BET)
Rose Quartz is a great straight track running horse who has 3 wins in 4 runs here at Flemington, with her only failure being on a soft7 in group 3 company. She is a true dry tracking horse (4 wins, 2 placing in 8 dry track runs)  which is perfect and the high tempo that will be set by Yulong command looks to play in her favour. The form off her last run reads well as her and Jigsaw put a huge margin on the rest.

VALUE BET - #1 – Halvorsen 
Halvorsen has run some cracker races down the straight and is something of a track speciliast here with 5 wins, is also a proven second up winner with 2 2nd up wins in 6 attempts. He ran a fast time 4th at this track and conditions last time out and expect him to improve sharply. 

THE DANGER - #2 – Esta La Roca 
Esta La Roca is a very talented horse who is always around the mark and looks to be just behind the pace setters in this race. Comes back from an 8 week let up after a second placing at the valley in heavy conditions, he did it tough out wide and still managed to close the gap there. Looks suited on the straight, the ground is a query for him but rarely ever runs a bad race and looks the danger in this field.

Flemington Race 9 – Penfolds (Bm70) (1000m)

#7 – Corona Lad - $6.00
#12 - Victory Bay - $4.80
#14 - Jet Jitsu (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY) - $15.00
#17e - Micro - $7.00

BEST BET - #7 – Corona Lad 
Corona Lad is a horse I have a lot of love for, he has been given a freshen after his most recent run and is in strong form this campaign with 2 wins in 8 runs, he comes into this race with 2 recent placings in strong company and drops back down in distance, hes been running cracker times and just couldn't get lucky last time out doing it tough out wide. I think (and hope) he storms over these with top jockey Blake Shinn

Jet Jitsu has been amazing since switching camps and he looks deserving of a step up to Saturday grade racing. Harry Coffey retains the ride from the last time out win and think he can run a cheeky rail hugging win, looks to be way over the odds here but that does come from the uncertainty of stepping up in class. 

THE DANGER - #12 - Victory Bay 
Victory Bay just missed last start and won 2 runs back on the synthetic as a $6 chance, the second placing was a strong run despite being carried wide around the turn and was only nabbed very late. Gets Luke nolen on now and strips fitter, draws better, I think he can give corona lad a run for his money if everything goes right, just failing to see how he is priced the way he is and for that reason will be on the above 2.

Best Bookie For Flemington Racecourse This Saturday

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Additionally, we notify you of any significant scratchings affecting the races as well as any details about the track, notable jockeys to follow, or other factors that we feel are good to know. We will also cover any bonus bet or other promotions that are running that day and even have recommendations for other bets like multi tips, and our daily quaddie.
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Jockey Of The Day – Blake Shinn

My love for Blake Shinn is not dying just yet, the inform top jockey looks to get a nice booking of rides at flemington on saturday after a night at the valley and along with him riding some of my top bets I have outlined all of his rides for the day:

Flemington R1 - River Ribble - $5.50
Flemington R4 - Blushing Tycoon - $9.00
Flemington R5 - My Yankee Girl - $8.00
Flemington R8 - Poland - $11.00
Flemington R9 - Corona Lad - $6.00

Multi Tips For Flemington Racecourse

This is a strong card with a lot of solid races and some clearly top horses within a couple of these races, as such, for this multi at Flemington on Saturday I have chosen to take a stab at a riskier multi with 2 wins and a place.

Follow my multi of the day below for some fun following over a couple races at Flemington:

Flemington Race 4 - #14 – Awesome John WIN - $4.40
Flemington Race 7 - #6 – Rose Quartz WIN – $2.50
Flemington Race 9 - #7 – Corona lad PLC - $2.55

Total Odds = $28.05
$50 Stake = $1402.5 Return!

Odds provided by PlayUp, sign up for a new account here to get started.

Exotic Tips For Flemington Racecourse

It looks like a good day for a couple of quaddies at Flemington, with some races having a narrower amount of selections and some races with a few bigger odds runners that I favour. For the sake of Saturday we are going to be tracking almost every race as I have an early Quaddie and Quaddie for you guys!

This is an excellent way to boost your potential returns and if anything in the below is confusing at all I highly recommend checking out our bet type information page as it delves into the intricacies of quaddie and other exotics betting.

Flemington Early Quaddie Tip (Races 2-5)

R2 - 7, 4
R3 - 7, 3, 4, 6
R4 - 14, 9
R5 - 6, 12, 11, 4, 7

$50 stake = 62.5% DIV

Flemington Quaddie Tip (Races 6-9)

R6 - 3, 4, 1
R7 - 2, 6, 1
R8 - 1, 2, 8
R9 - 12, 14, 17

$50 stake = 61.73% DIV

In recent times, exotic bets have become way more popular with Aussie punters!

As a brief explanation, exotic bets include many runners into a single bet with dividend odds. It’s a great way to include more runners in races you are unsure about. I suggest giving it a try (it’s also very fun). Or check out our bet information page!

Best Promotions for Flemington Racecourse

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If you're looking for horse racing promotions this Saturday, I have to recommend Palmerbet. You might even be able to snag a bonus bet or two! Don't forget to check out Palmerbet’s ‘Bookies Bag’ feature for even more promos and bonus bet offers. 

Promotions can vary so be sure to sign up and create an account at Palmerbet to check out which promotions your account is eligible for. So what are you waiting for? Sign up at Palmerbet today and get in on the fun!